Gameweek 21 - Key Players and Captain's Picks

DH
By Drafthound Team 29th January 2021
10 min read

This week's analysis breaks down some of the key players to look out for in the Drafthound dream teams. If you don’t own any of the mentioned players - fear not - as we have insights on all players and teams including performance predictions, odds indexes, and predicted lineups to ensure you get those green arrows!


Disclaimer: All odds, ownership, and price optics were correct at the time of writing.






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£7.50 | Attacker for Everton

Dominic Calvert-Lewin made his return from injury last week and could be a solid punt with Everton facing Newcastle (H), Leeds (A), and Fulham (H) in their next four games.


DCL is joint-third for goals this season (11) and joint-fourth for assists (4) among FPL forwards - and despite his injuries and the dip in form from Everton, he’s still managed the joint-fourth most shots on target (25) in the league which is impressive in itself.


Everton have only failed to score 3 times this season, which is a stat only Man City can best (2) and they currently rank fourth for most goals scored at home (16) whilst their upcoming opponent Newcastle ranks fourth for most goals conceded away from home (17).


DCL has been given a 50% chance of scoring which ranks him among the bookmakers’ top goalscoring candidates this week and Everton have been given a 31% chance of scoring more than 2.5 goals meaning they are among the favorites to deliver the goals this week.


James Rodriguez also deserves an honorable mention after fully returning from injury recently and even scoring in Everton’s last game against Leicester - his chances of scoring have been priced to 28%.






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Barnes
2.12
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£6.60 | Midfielder for Leicester

Barnes has 1 goal and 2 assists in his last three games and in the same period he’s second for shots on target (4) and fourth for chances created (9) among FPL midfielders.


Barnes is one of the main attacking players for Leicester who currently sits third in the league table and boasts the third-best goal record (36) behind only Man United (37) and Liverpool (40).


He’s scored 6 goals and returned 3 assists for Leicester this season which makes him their second most prolific player with 86 FPL points. He’s also second for shots attempted (42), shots on target (20), and third for chances created (17).


Leicester takes on Leeds (H) next who have conceded more goals on the road than any other side (21) and as a result, the bookmakers have priced the Foxes as huge favorites to win (53%) and given them a 31% chance of scoring more than 2.5 goals which only Chelsea (40%) and Man City (56%) can best.


Barnes has been given a 31% chance of scoring which matches that of Maddison who also deserves a mention as a potential Leicester candidate along with Tielemans who is on penalty duty.






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Gündogan
2.03
%
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£5.50 | Midfielder for Man City

Gundogan has 7 goals in his last eight games making him one of the league’s most prolific midfielders - and at a fraction of the cost (£5.7).


Man City is top of the league after 7 wins in a row where they also outscored all other teams (18), conceded the fewest amounts of goals (1), and kept the most clean sheets (6).


They face Sheffield United next who managed their only second win of the season with an impressive 2-1 win against United at Old Trafford. Despite this, they still have the worst clean sheet record in the league (1) and have also conceded the third most away goals (18) which means there should still be a lot of points up for the taking.


Gundogan has been given a 40% chance of scoring by the bookmakers and Man City have been priced as the favorites to deliver the goals this week with a 56% chance of scoring more than 2.5.






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Lookman
2.43
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£4.70 | Midfielder for Fulham

Lookman has 1 goal and 1 assist in his last four games despite playing heavyweights like Tottenham, Chelsea, and Man United.


He’s Fulham’s best player this season with 3 goals and 3 assists and none of his teammates has attempted as many shots as him (38), had as many shots on target (17), or created as many chances (27).


Fulham travels to the Hawthorns next to take on West Brom who have conceded more goals than any other team in the league (48) whilst also having the second-worst clean sheet record (2).


The bookmakers’ have made Fulham favorites to win (42%) and Lookman has been given a 25% chance of scoring which is the highest of anyone in that fixture.






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Mané
3.44
OOP
£11.80 | Midfielder for Liverpool

Mané and Liverpool returned to winning ways with an impressive 3-1 win against Tottenham on Thursday where the Senegalese returned double-digit points (15) by both scoring and providing 2 assists.


Over the last seven GW’s he’s managed the second-most shots (22), third-most shots on target (8), and created the fifth most chances (17) among FPL midfielders despite Liverpool’s dip in form.


Liverpool faces West Ham (A) next and have been priced as heavy favorites by the bookmakers and given a 31% chance of delivering more than 2.5 goals which ranks them as one of this week’s favorites to deliver the goals.


Mané himself has been given a 38% chance of scoring which could be a solid value bet given the fact that he’s scored 5 goals in his last five games against West Ham only blanking one of those meetings.






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£5.10 | Defender for Man City

Stones has returned 9 clean sheets and 2 goals in eleven games this season and he has the best point average out of any defender in the league (7).


As mentioned in the analysis on Gundogan, Man City is currently on a seven-game win streak, conceding only once and keeping 6 clean sheets which no other team in the league can best.


Their next opponent Sheffield United have the league's worst goalscoring record (12) and have also failed to score in half of their games this season (10) which is also a record.


As a result, Man City have been priced as clear favorites to keep a clean sheet this round with a 67% chance of doing so. Stones himself has been given a 10% chance of scoring which ranks him among the top goalscoring candidates for his position.


Cancelo also deserves a mention after finally returning the attack points that his stats have warranted for a while now. He managed a goal, an assist, and a clean sheet in his last game against West Brom and returned an impressive 17 points.


In his last five games, he’s managed 9 shots and 4 shots on target which no other defender can best, and in the same period, he’s also created the third-most chances (8).


Cancelo has been given a 9% chance of scoring against Sheffield United (H).






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Digne
2.10
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£6.20 | Defender for Everton

Digne is yet another Everton player who has struggled with injuries this season but when he plays he usually delivers the points.


The Frenchman has only played ten games this season but still managed 6 assists which only Cresswell can best among FPL defenders (7) despite him playing double the amount of games.


3 of those assists have come in his last three games and if he can keep up that form he’ll be in most managers teams within the next couple of weeks.


The bookmakers’ have priced Everton’s chances of keeping a clean sheet this week to 50% which could be a value bet given how Newcastle have failed to score in half of their away games this season (5) with only Burnley and Crystal faring worse in the league (both 6).






Captaincy Candidates


Tough one this week. Salah has blanked six GW’s in a row, Son is playing without Kane, Bruno Fernandes is facing an improving Arsenal and he recently blanked against Sheffield United despite being the most captained player ever in a GW… maybe it’s time to look beyond the usual suspects?


Therefore, Gundogan is this week’s go-to captain based on both form and fixture. He’s in the best form of his career after scoring 7 goals in his last eight matches and he’s facing off against bottom-club Sheffield United next.


If you’re looking for alternative options, you could consider the likes of Mané or DCL - and perhaps even Cancelo or Sterling but with the caveat that both could be victims of the Pep Roulette meaning you also need a solid VC!


And for good measure, we would always have to mention Bruno Fernandes as an option when he's playing away from home. He's played 10 games on the road, returned attacking points in 7 of those, and had 5 double-digit returns which no other play can match.






That’s it for our GW21 analysis!


Did we miss anyone or do you have any other questions? If so make sure to hit us up over on our Twitter, Instagram, or Facebook.


Good luck!

Drafthound Team

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