This week's analysis breaks down some of the key players to look out for in the Drafthound dream teams along with a breakdown of the recently confirmed double gameweeks. If you don’t own any of the mentioned players - fear not - as we have insights on all players and teams including performance predictions, odds indexes, and predicted lineups to ensure you get those green arrows!
There’s still a lot of uncertainty around the next couple of weeks double Gameweek’s and blanks so the best advice we can give is to manage your team based on what we know for sure - and push your transfers as close to the deadline as possible.
This week you should focus on the DGW24 and DGW25 fixtures.
Focus on City and Burnley assets and keep Leeds and Southampton if you already have them. If your team is already set up nicely for the round consider rolling a free transfer this week so you’ll have two next week when the DGW26 fixtures are announced.
Man City: Tottenham (H) | Everton (A)
Everton: Fulham (H) | Manchester City (H)
Burnley: Crystal Palace (A) | Fulham (H)
Fulham: Everton (A) | Burnley (A)
West Brom vs. Manchester United
Chelsea vs. Newcastle
West Ham vs. Sheffield United
Southampton: Chelsea (H) | Leeds (A)
Leeds: Wolves (A) | Southampton (H)
We should get confirmation on the DGW26 fixtures next week but until then it would seem the best assets for that round is.
Man City, Man United, and Leicester.
Man City, Aston Villa, Tottenham, Man United, Everton, and Fulham.
Meaning you shouldn’t rush to sell players from those teams either if you can avoid it.
The blank GW29 is almost set with the three confirmed fixtures being:
Brighton vs. Newcastle
West Ham vs. Arsenal
Fulham vs. Leeds
Aston Villa vs. Tottenham will almost certainly be added to this round as well. The other 12 teams will blank due to clashes with the FA Cup quarter-finals.
Don’t stress on this yet but (again) don’t sell all of your Leeds players either.
Now back to the analysis of this week’s key players!
Initially, Dominic Calvert-Lewin would have been our top pick for Everton’s double Gameweek against Fulham (H) and Man City (H) but unfortunately, he picked up a hamstring injury in his FA Cup game against Tottenham on Wednesday - after scoring twice...
So instead we move our focus to Richarlison, who also managed to score a brace in that game and who will most likely replace him as the Toffee’s main man up front.
The Brazilian has produced 9 shots over the last four GW’s which is joint-top for Everton along with DCL and he’s currently owned by less than 5% of managers which makes him a solid differential before Everton’s two home games in DGW24.
Everton have won their last four home games against Fulham scoring 11 goals in the process and this season Fulham have only managed a single clean sheet on the road.
Richarlison provided an assist and picked up 5 points in the reverse fixture back in November and this time around the bookmakers’ have given him a 25% (3/1) chance of scoring against them which looks like a value bet considering the fact that he will be spearheading Everton’s attack.
Everton’s record against Man City is less impressive but from a fantasy perspective, it’s promising to see how they have only failed to score against the Citizens once in their last six encounters, meaning there is still hope for attacking returns.
Richarlison even managed a goal in his most recent game against Man City and owners will hope that he can repeat that feat.
If you’re looking to invest in alternative Everton assets ahead of their DGW the most obvious player would probably be James but the real power move would be to go for Sigurdsson who has 2 goals and 3 assists in his last three games (incl. the cup) and who is currently only owned by 1.6%
He also has a decent record against Fulham with 4 goals and an assist in six meetings and 2 goals and an assist over the last four seasons against Man City.
Gündogan has 9 goals and an assist in his last eleven games which no other player can best - and in the same period he’s returned attacking points eight times and five of those have been double-digit returns.
He’s proven himself to be a reliable replacement for the injured De Bruyne and with goals against Chelsea, Aston Villa, West Brom, and recently Liverpool he’s also shown he can deliver goals and fantasy points against any opponent.
Over the last six GW’s, Man City have attempted the most shots (106), had the most shots on target (44), scored the most goals (19), and created the most chances (79).
They take on Tottenham (H) and Everton (A) next in their upcoming DGW24 and are favorites in both encounters. They have won three out of their last four games against Tottenham at the Etihad and their last three games at Goodison Park.
The bookmakers’ have made them huge favorites in both games and priced their chances of scoring more than 2.5 goals against Tottenham to 45% and against Everton to 38% which makes them odds-on favorites to deliver the goals this week by some margin.
Gundogan himself has been given a 38% chance of scoring against Tottenham and it would be fair to assume a similar odds range in his game against Everton (the current market hasn't been priced yet).
The obvious alternative is Raheem Sterling who has 3 goals and an assist in his last three games - and what is even more impressive is the fact that he’s returned attacking points in 9 out of his last 12 games.
The bookmakers’ have given him a 43% chance of scoring against Tottenham and like with Gundogan should have something similar against Everton.
Bruno Fernandes is currently the FPL point leader (169) after scoring 2 goals, providing 2 assists, and returning 24 points in his last two games.
He’s joint-second on the goalscoring charts (13) behind only Salah (16) and joint-second on the assist charts (11) behind only Grealish (12) - but no one can best his combined 24 attacking returns in the league.
This season he has also produced the most shots (78), had the joint-second most shots on target (32) and created the second-most chances (68).
Man United have scored the most goals in the league (49) and take on West Brom next who have conceded the most goals (54). The perfect fantast matchup?
The bookmakers’ have priced Man United’s chances of winning to 75%, their chance of scoring more than 2.5 goals to 45%, and their clean sheet chances to 50% which makes this the plum fixture of the week.
Bruno Fernandes himself has been given a 49% chance of scoring which no other midfielder can best this round (single game).
Pope is Burnley’s top-scoring FPL player (102) and the second-highest scoring goalkeeper in the game behind only Martinez (116).
He has averaged 4.9 points per match this campaign which is more than his 4.5 average from last season where he finished as the leading fantasy goalkeeper.
He had an injury scare this week but Sean Dyche has confirmed that he’s back in training and ready for the weekend.
Whenever Burnley and Pope have kept a clean sheet this season the added save- and bonus points have lifted the GK’s output significantly. He has produced double digital returns on five of the seven occasions that Burnley have managed a clean sheet and will get the chance to do so again this DGW.
Burnley have two games this round against Crystal Palace (A) and Fulham (H) which gives them plenty of chances to return the defensive points.
Pope returned a clean sheet and double-digit points in the reverse fixture against Crystal Palace - and this time the Eagles could be without their main talisman Zaha which should increase his chances of repeating that feat.
Fulham have blanked in four out of their last six games and managed only 3 goals over that period which is also promising for any Burnley asset owners.
The bookmakers’ have priced Burnley’s chances of keeping a clean sheet against Crystal Palace to 33% and priced their chances of doing the same against Fulham to 38%.
Lookman is as close to a talisman as Fulham can get this season. He currently ranks first on attempted shots (46), shots on target (18), chances created (33), and assists (3) among all his teammates, and only Reid (5) has scored more goals than him (3).
Over the last six rounds, Lookman is joint-fifth for shots attempted (17) and joint-fourth for chances created (14) among all players in the league despite Fulham not winning any of those games and only scoring three times.
Fulham has 5 goals in their last two PL games against Burnley and when they faced Everton in the reverse fixture they scored twice with Lookman setting up one of the goals.
We’re not expecting a massive return but with a double Gameweek, he’s a suitable replacement for your fourth or fifth midfielder this round.
The bookmakers’ have given him a 22.2% chance of scoring against Everton and have yet to price his chances of doing the same against Burnley.
Many players have the potential to be good captain picks but here are the ones we and the bookmakers prefer.
We chose to focus on Gundogan over Sterling in this week’s analysis given how his ownership is double as high but their underlying stats and point potential are both very similar.
The risk with both of them is that they won’t necessarily play 180 minutes and especially Sterling has often been rested for full matches at a time. Gundogan has an advantage in this regard with so many injuries to the Man City midfield but at the same time, the potential injuries to Fernandinho and Rodrigo mean Pep might have to play him in a deeper role which could hamper his attacking potential.
Either way, we suggest you keep an eye on the Friday press conferences before making your (C) decision.
The bookmakers’ backs Sterling to deliver the most points this week based on both Man City’s odds and his anytime goalscoring odds. Sterling has been given a 43% chance of scoring against Tottenham - compared with Gundogan’s 38% - and whilst they have still to release the odds on their second game against Everton the odds from the Tottenham game indicates that Sterling is also the odds-on favorite in this fixture.
If you don’t believe your City assets will play enough this week then Bruno Fernandes could also be a solid shout against West Brom (A). However, as a general rule of thumb captaining a single GW player in a Double GW round is not advisable but we know Fernandes track record, and since most properly won’t captain him then a haul from his side could also benefit you if you’re looking to punt your way to the top.
That’s it for our GW24 analysis!
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