Gameweek 26 - Key Players, Captains and Double Gameweek Analysis

DH
By Drafthound Team 26th February 2021
10 min read

This week's analysis breaks down some of the key players to look out for in the Drafthound dream teams along with a breakdown of the recently confirmed double gameweeks. If you don’t own any of the mentioned players - fear not - as we have insights on all players and teams including performance predictions, odds indexes, and predicted lineups to ensure you get those green arrows!


Disclaimer: All odds, ownership, and price optics were correct at the time of writing.





Teams to Target


One minute after last week’s deadline, the Premier League finally confirmed (some of) the upcoming double Gameweeks - meaning that FPL managers can finally begin to plan for the month of March:


Double Gameweek 26

A total of 14 teams will play twice this week:

Aston Villa: Leeds (A) | Sheffield United (A)

Burnley: Tottenham (A) | Leicester (H)

Chelsea: Man United (H) | Liverpool (A)

Crystal Palace: Fulham (H) | Man United (H)

Everton: Southampton (H) | West Brom (A)

Fulham: Crystal Palace (H) | Tottenham (H)

Leicester: Arsenal | Burnley (A)

Liverpool: Sheffield Utd (A) | Chelsea (H)

Man City: West Ham (H) | Wolves (H)

Man United: Chelsea (A) | Crystal Palace (A)

Sheffield Utd: Liverpool (H) | Aston Villa (H)

Tottenham: Burnley (H) | Fulham (A)

West Brom: Brighton (H) | Everton (H)

Wolves: Newcastle (A) | Man City (A)


Double Gameweek 27

This was confirmed by Pep in his latest press conference and has now been officially confirmed.

Man City: Man United (H) | Southampton (H) / Wolves (H)

Southampton: Sheffield United (A) | Man City (A) / Tottenham (A)


Double Gameweek 28 (unconfirmed)

Aston Villa vs. Everton has yet to be rescheduled but it’s highly likely that it will move to GW28.

Aston Villa: Newcastle (A) | Everton (H)

Everton: Burnley (H) | Aston Villa (A)


Blank Gameweek 29

This was confirmed by Pep in his latest press conference and has now been officially confirmed.

Fulham vs. Leeds

Brighton vs. Newcastle

West Ham vs. Arsenal

Aston Villa vs. Tottenham


Thoughts on the upcoming GW’s:


  • We’re keeping our triple Man City assets; they have two DGW in a row. However, their congested program means an increased risk of rotation (Pep already suggested 5-7 changes…!) so we’re looking for regulars to ensure maximum playing time.

  • We have Kane for Spurs’ DGW26 and their upcoming fixtures including the blank Gameweek 29 - we’re considering getting Son too (but may fall short on budget).

  • We’re going to try and keep most of our Leeds assets despite them not having a DGW. They are still solid long-term investments and also play the BGW29 (but Bamford could fall short for a Kane-DCL-Watkins combo this week).

  • We’re prioritizing offloading West Ham assets as their program is worsening despite playing the BGW29.

  • We’re strongly considering Aston Villa assets like Watkins, Targett, Traore, and Martinez (and El Mohamady when on a budget) as they are part of the DGW26, they have decent upcoming fixtures including a potential DGW28, and they won't be blanking in BGW29. Just be aware of the potential no-Grealish impact...

  • We’re also strongly considering Leicester assets like Vardy and Barnes (and even Pereira if he continues as right wing!) given their strong run of fixtures and the DGW26 - however, they will blank in BGW29. If you still have your free-hit chip and plan to use it for the BGW29, then you should target Leicester heavily, Just be aware of the potential no-Maddison impact...

  • We’re considering getting Everton assets (DCL and Digne) as they have plum fixtures this DGW26 and most likely will get another DGW in GW28.

  • We’re not worried about potentially having to take a massive hit to get in the right players for the next couple of weeks. -8 to -12 could be acceptable for the right DGW assets but make sure to always consider what you already got compared to a new player and a -4 hit.

Now back to an analysis of this week’s key players!





DGW26 Key Players



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Kane
4.41
%
£11.90 | Attacker for Tottenham

Unsurprisingly, Kane is one of the most transferred-in players ahead of Tottenham’s double Gameweek against Burnley (H) and Fulham (A).


He has 13 goals and 11 assists to his name this season which no other FPL forward can best and he’s also the fourth highest-scoring FPL assets with 155 points with only Son (159), Salah (164), and Fernandes (190) returning more.


Since returning from injury, he’s scored 2 goals in four games including his FA Cup appearance against Everton and he was unlucky not to do the same against both Man City (where he hit the upright) and West Ham where he managed 6 goal attempts.


Burnley might have tightened up their defense lately but they have also conceded the third-most chances (205) when playing away from home meaning Kane should still get plenty of opportunities to return attacking points.


He’s also managed 8 goals and 3 assists in his last eleven games against Burnley and Tottenham won their most recent home game against them 5-0 which have seen the bookmakers price Kane’s chances of scoring again to 54%.


Their other opponent Fulham have also managed to strengthen their defense in recent weeks but it’s worth remembering that Tottenham have a devastating record at Craven Cottage after winning their last four games there scoring 11 goals and conceding only twice.


Kane himself has 6 goals in four games against Fulham - one of which came in the reverse fixture and his chances of scoring against them again has been priced to 58%.






team-badge
£7.50 | Attacker for Everton

DCL made his return from injury last week in Everton’s win over Liverpool - and he looked sharp when coming off the bench and especially in the buildup to their penalty.


He should be back in the team and (potentially) back in the goals in Everton’s double Gameweek against Southampton (H) and West Brom (A) after scoring 2 goals and providing 2 assists in his last three games.


This season, DCL is joint-third for goals (13) and joint-fourth for assists (6) among FPL forwards - and despite his injury record, he’s still managed the joint-fourth most shots on target (32) in the league which is impressive in itself given his game time.


As a team, Everton have only failed to score 5 times this season which is a stat only West Ham (4), Aston Villa (4) and Man City (2) can best.


Their next opponent Southampton have lost six out of their last seven games and conceded more goals than any other team in that period (22).


Their other opponent West Brom have conceded more goals (55) than any other team this season and only managed 3 clean sheets with only Sheffield Utd faring worse (1).


DCL has been given a 44% chance of scoring against Southampton and a 48% chance of doing the same against West Brom whom he scored a hattrick against in the reverse fixture.






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£11.40 | Midfielder for Man United

Bruno Fernandes managed his tenth double-figure haul last round against Newcastle when he scored a goal and provided an assist.


He’s now returned 4 goals and 2 assists over the last four GW’s which makes him the current point leader (190) and one of the most obvious captaincy candidates ahead of his double Gameweek against Chelsea (A) and Crystal Palace (A).


This season, he’s attempted more shots (83) and had the second-most shots on target (36) out of anyone in the league. He’s also second for goals (15), chances created (71), and joint first for assists (11).


Man United faces Chelsea (A) next in what we can only assume is going to be a low-scoring matchup. Their reverse fixture ended in a 0-0 draw and Chelsea are currently unbeaten in their last eight games having only conceded twice. Not an ideal game on paper but Bruno has proven he can return against any opponent.


The real plum fixture is Man United’s game against Crystal Palace (A). The Red Devils have scored more goals than anyone in the league (53) whereas their opponent has conceded the joint-second most goal (43) with only West Brom faring worse (55).


Bruno himself scored 1 goal in the reverse fixture against Crystal Palace and the bookmakers’ have priced his chances of scoring again to 43%.


They also expect Man United to win comfortably (67%) whilst also giving them a 33% chance of scoring more than 2.5 goals.






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Gündogan
2.03
%
£
£5.50 | Midfielder for Man City

Gundogan remains the most obvious midfielder pick in terms of both form and price.


Over the last six GW’s no other player has amassed more FPL points than him (60) and in the same period, he’s racked up 6 goals and 2 assists with no other player delivering more attacking returns.


Only Man United (53) have scored more goals than Man City (50) this season but no one can beat them when it comes to goal attempts (386) and chances created (294).


They have back-to-back double Gameweeks against West Ham (H), Wolves (H) and then Man United (H) and Southampton (H) in GW27.


West Ham have conceded 7 goals over the last six GW’s, keeping just 2 clean sheets - and Man City have won their last four encounters against them at the Etihad.


Second-up for City are Wolves who have conceded just 3 goals over the aforementioned period but their record at the Etihad counts three losses in their last four visits whilst also conceding 10 goals.


The bookmakers have Man City as clear favorites in both games and they have also priced their chances of scoring more than 2.5 goals against West Ham to 50% and their chances of doing the same against Wolves to 48% which makes them the odds-on favorites to deliver the goals this DGW.


Gundogan himself has been given a 43% chance of scoring against West Ham and an almost equal chance of repeating that feat against Wolves (48%).


If you’re looking for a differential then De Bruyne is currently only owned by 11.2% of managers and with 1 goal and 4 assists in his last five starts and 34 points returned over the same period he could soon be back on everybody's radar again.


No matter what City asset you decide for, you should expect heavy rotation.






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Barnes
2.12
£
£6.60 | Midfielder for Leicester

Barnes is currently the most transferred-in player ahead of the double Gameweek and with good reason.


Over the last eleven GW’s he’s had the third most goal attempts (30), scored the joint-second most goals (6), and had the joint-third most assists (4) out of anyone in the league - four of those attacking returns have even come in his last two games against Liverpool and Aston Villa.


As a team, Leicester have also impressed this season and currently sit third, only by virtue of goal difference behind Man United. They take on Arsenal (H) and Burnley (A) in their double Gameweek 26 and have been made favorites in both encounters by the bookmakers.


The majority of Barnes attacking returns has come at home (6G 3A) so his owners will feel confident that he can continue that streak against the Gunners. The bookmakers’ have priced his chances of scoring in that game to 27%.


Their other opponent Burnley will also pose a challenge but as we described earlier they also tend to concede a lot of chances and with 2 goals and 3 assists in his last four games against the Clarets, Barnes looks like one of the go-to players to target in that fixture. The bookmakers’ have priced his chances of scoring again to 33%.






team-badge
Digne
2.10
%
£6.20 | Defender for Everton

Digne is another Everton player who has struggled with injuries this season but when he plays he usually delivers the points.


The Frenchman has only played sixteen games this season but still managed 8 assists in that time which only Cresswell can best among FPL defenders (9) despite him playing every game this campaign.


He’s in red-hot form after managing an assist against Man City in GW24 and a clean sheet in his most recent game against Liverpool - and this round he has a double Gameweek against Southampton (H) and West Brom (A) which massively increases his potential for both defensive and attacking returns.


Southampton’s Bednarek will have to cover for the injured KWP at right-back when the two sides meet which Digne can take full advantage of - and their other opponent West Brom have conceded more goals than any other team in the league (55) and only Burnley and Sheffield Utd (both 13) have failed to score in more games than them (12).


The bookmakers’ have priced Everton’s chances of keeping a clean sheet against Southampton to 36% and their chances of doing the same against West Brom to 42% which ranks them among the top clean sheet candidates this DGW.






Captaincy Candidates


Many players have the potential to be good captain picks but here are the ones you should look out for.


Kane is probably the safest captain and triple captain pick for the DGW based on expected ownership and fixtures. Surprisingly, however, he hasn’t scored more than one goal in a game since GW5 yet still managed double-digit returns on five occasions this season.


Some will argue that Tottenham have looked out of form and often seem comfortable seeing out a game with a narrow lead which obviously lowers their potential FPL point ceiling - but if Tottenham turns up this DGW Kane will most likely be at the center of it all and his popularity alone means you’re taking a huge risk by going without him.


It’s also worth remembering that he’s managed 8 goals and 3 assists in his last eleven games against Burnley and 6 goals in his last four games against Fulham - one of which came in the reverse fixture.


He’s also the bookmakers’ odds-on favorite to score the most goals this round.


Alternatively, you could opt for Bruno Fernandes. The Portuguese managed yet another double-figure haul against Newcastle last week which takes him to 15 goals and 12 assists this season. He’s the current point leader and the most obvious ‘in-form’ captaincy pick this round against Chelsea (A) and Crystal Palace (A) - with the latter being the true plum fixture.


Fun fact: Only Mohamed Salah (24) has scored more Premier League goals than Bruno Fernandes since his debut in February 2020 (23).


The last candidate who deserves a mention is Dominic Calvert-Lewin. He’s back in the team and should be back in the goals in Everton’s double Gameweek against Southampton (H) and West Brom (A) after scoring 2 goals and providing 2 assists in his last three games.


He’s also been given a 44% chance of scoring against Southampton by the bookmakers and a 48% chance of doing the same against West Brom whom he scored a hattrick against in the reverse fixture - however, Kane still edges past him on this parameter.


Honorabe mentions


In-form Gundogan could also be an option but Pep roulette brings an added element of risk and Salah is also (always) a candidate as he can return in any game regardless of how Liverpool plays.






That’s it for our DGW26 analysis!


Did we miss anyone or do you have any other questions? If so make sure to hit us up over on our Twitter, Instagram, or Facebook.


Good luck!

Drafthound Team

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