This week's analysis breaks down some of the key players to look out for in the Drafthound dream teams. If you don’t own any of the mentioned players - fear not - as we have insights on all players and teams including performance predictions, odds indexes, and predicted lineups to ensure you get those green arrows!
The Fantasy Premier League is nearing the finish line, and the schedule turbulence continues.
This week we start with an early Friday deadline, and then we string out the games until next Thursday where we’ll then have less than 24 hours to prepare for the blank Gameweek 33.
Along the way, Tottenham have games against both Everton (A) and Southampton (H) and if you still have your Triple Captain chip, there’s very unlikely to be a better opportunity to play it than now!
Personally, we didn’t opt to activate our Wildcard last week as we wanted more clarity regarding the upcoming fixtures and critical fixture swings.
Unfortunately for us, many of the WC template players hauled in GW31 including Lingard, Iheanacho, Salah, and TAA which wasn’t ideal.
This said, however, there might still have been some value in saving the WC which we will know once the EPL announces more about the last run of fixtures.
As always we’re sticking to our usual mantra of only playing based on the things we know meaning we’ll also not be activating our WC this week!
Let’s get on to this week’s analysis starting with a rundown of the next couple of weeks rounds to look out for.
Blank Gameweek 33
Manchester City, Tottenham, Southampton, and Fulham will blank this week due to the League Cup Final.
Two postponements are yet to rescheduled:
Crystal Palace vs. Southampton
Aston Villa vs. Everton
The working theory is that the schedule in the final two weeks will be changed to allow each team to get a home game with a crowd. If this happens then the FA Cup final will likely cause two Blanks in GW36 and those Blanks would likely move to GW35. Rumors have it that GW35 may even end up as a huge Double GW and that most of the teams with doubles in GW35 will then blank in GW36. Planning nightmare coming up unless you saved (forgot) your Free Hit.
Anyhow, there are lots of possible outcomes for the DGW schedule after GW34 so make sure you stay tuned and only play based on what’s already confirmed (if you can…).
Thanks to Ben Crellin for the input!
Now back to the analysis of this week’s key players!
Harry Kane has 7 attacking returns in his last five games (5G, 2A) which no other FPL player can best.
This season, he’s also scored the joint-most goals (19), returned the joint-most assists (13) and only Bruno Fernandes (216) has more FPL points than him (206).
He was out injured a couple of rounds ago which saw Tottenham lose back-to-back games but ever since his return (in GW23) they have scored 18 goals with only Man City (28) scoring more.
They have a double round this week against Everton (A) and Southampton (H) which in itself makes their players worth targeting.
Everton have only kept 2 clean sheets at home this season with only Newcastle faring worse (1) and Tottenham on the other hand have scored in all but three away games this campaign making them the joint-second most goal-consistent away team.
Their second opponent Southampton have conceded the second-most goals in the league (56) and they lost the reverse fixture against Tottenham 5-2 with Kane involved in all of the goals (1G, 4A).
The bookmakers have made Tottenham favorites in both games and combined they are obviously also the odds-on favorites to deliver the most goals this round.
Kane himself has been given a 44% chance of scoring against Everton and his goal-scoring odds for his game against Southampton have yet to be priced.
Iheanacho fought his way back into the Leicester lineup in GW26 and hasn’t looked back since.
Over the last six GW’s he’s scored 7 goals and racked up 52 points with no other player returning more - and in the same period, he’s also attempted the third-most shots (21) and had the third-most shots on target (10).
He has one of the best runs of fixtures between now and GW35 where Leicester will face four of the five teams who have conceded the most goals this season; West Brom (H), Crystal Palace (H), Southampton (A), and Newcastle (H).
Leicester have scored the third-most goals this season (55) behind only Man City (67) and Man United (61) and they face a West Brom side next who have conceded the most goals (59).
They won the reverse fixture 3-0 and have been made favorites again this time by the bookmakers who have also given them a 31% chance of scoring 2.5+ goals making them one of the odds-on favorites to deliver the goals this week.
Iheanacho himself scored 1 goal (and returned 1 assist) in his last game against West Brom but his chances of scoring again this week haven’t been priced by the bookmakers yet as he still has an FA Cup Semi-Final to play before that game.
Arsenal have one of the best end-of-season fixture runs and will face four of the bottom six teams between now and GW38.
They have shown mixed form so far this season but their players will look to end the season on a high before the Euros - and especially Lacazette has looked inspired in recent weeks.
He has scored 5 goals in his last five starts and returned 43 points with only Kane (51) and Iheanacho (52) returning more among FPL forwards.
His season total of 13 goals, 29 shots on target, and 124 FPL points are all team-leading totals and he’s currently only owned by 7.7% of managers making him a solid differential to help you end your season on a high.
Arsenal faces Fulham (H) next who have lost four games in a row - and their last six games against Arsenal, conceding 18 goals in the process.
Lacazette himself has never blanked a game against Fulham, having scored 4 goals in three games against them and as a result, the bookmakers have priced his chance of scoring to 45%.
Since Tuchel’s first game in charge of Chelsea, no other team in the Premier League have kept as many clean sheets and conceded as few goals (both 8).
Azpilicueta is the only Chelsea player to have played every minute of every Premier League game under the new manager and in that period no other FPL defender has returned more points than him (68).
Chelsea faces Brighton (H) next against whom they have won their last three home games without conceding a single goal.
The Blues have also returned a clean sheet in seven out of their last eight home games in all competitions whereas Brighton have the seventh-worst goal record in the league on par with Crystal Palace.
As a result, the bookmakers have priced Chelsea as major favorites (62%) and given them a 49% chance of keeping a clean sheet making them one of the odds-on favorites to return defensive points this round.
Azpilicueta himself has been given a conservative 8% chance of scoring so his real value obviously lies in his clean sheet and assist potential.
A case could be made for more attacking options from the Chelsea backline like Alonso. Chilwell and James but the risk of rotation seem too high at the moment.
Many players have the potential to be good captain picks but here are the ones on our watchlist.
The first candidate is Kane who’s the league's top goalscorer (19), assist leader (13), and the current favorite for the golden boot.
Over the last five rounds, he’s had 7 attacking returns (5G, 2A) which no other FPL player can best and he has a double GW this round which should be enough in itself!
Kane faces Everton (A) and Southampton (H) this round against whom he has returned a combined 19 goals and 6 assists in 23 league encounters.
More specifically, 9 goals in 11 league games against Everton, and 10 goals and 6 assists in 12 league games against Southampton.
Son is another candidate for the armband this week and the standout differential.
He’s the fourth-highest returning FPL asset this season with 14 goals and 9 assists to his name and one of the main reasons that Kane (and Tottenham) have produced the attacking numbers that they have this season.
He has 10 goals and 4 assists in 12 games against Southampton, including 4 in the reverse fixture - and 3 goals and 6 assists in 8 games against Everton meaning he will definitely be a worthy adversary to the armband this week.
In conclusion, most managers (including us) will be captaining Kane this round but if you are chasing rank and not hedging against the majority you might even gain some ground by going with Son who’s not even that much of a punt.
We've written the definitive Guide to FanTeam. FanTeam plays like classic FPL. Meaning you should have no problem running similar teams on both platforms.
That’s it for our GW32 analysis!
In this beginner’s guide to FanTeam, we introduce everything you need to know to get started on the platform, plus its overlap with the Fantasy Premier League.
Wondering how to use Drafthound to boost your FPL performance? Look no further than our definitive guide to using our ranking and team analysis tools. We don’t expect you to read from A to Z (but we’d like you to). Instead, this guide is designed as a reference tool - so feel free to read the sections in whatever order you choose based on your specific need.
FPL is over, but the Euros are here! 🎉
We will be supporting fantasy Euro 2020 over the summer, providing you with expert picks, player and team analysis, and so much more.